Log-Concave Distribution Estimation

Author

Anqi Fu and Balasubramanian Narasimhan

Introduction

Let \(n = 1\) and suppose \(x_i\) are i.i.d. samples from a log-concave discrete distribution on \(\{0,\ldots,K\}\) for some \(K \in {\mathbf Z}_+\). Define \(p_k := {\mathbf {Prob}}(X = k)\) to be the probability mass function. One method for estimating \(\{p_0,\ldots,p_K\}\) is to maximize the log-likelihood function subject to a log-concavity constraint , i.e.,

\[ \begin{array}{ll} \underset{p}{\mbox{maximize}} & \sum_{k=0}^K M_k\log p_k \\ \mbox{subject to} & p \geq 0, \quad \sum_{k=0}^K p_k = 1, \\ & p_k \geq \sqrt{p_{k-1}p_{k+1}}, \quad k = 1,\ldots,K-1, \end{array} \]

where \(p \in {\mathbf R}^{K+1}\) is our variable of interest and \(M_k\) represents the number of observations equal to \(k\), so that \(\sum_{k=0}^K M_k = m\). The problem as posed above is not convex. However, we can transform it into a convex optimization problem by defining new variables \(u_k = \log p_k\) and relaxing the equality constraint to \(\sum_{k=0}^K p_k \leq 1\), since the latter always holds tightly at an optimal solution. The result is

\[ \begin{array}{ll} \underset{u}{\mbox{maximize}} & \sum_{k=0}^K M_k u_k \\ \mbox{subject to} & \sum_{k=0}^K e^{u_k} \leq 1, \\ & u_k - u_{k-1} \geq u_{k+1} - u_k, \quad k = 1,\ldots,K-1. \end{array} \]

Example

We draw \(m = 25\) observations from a log-concave distribution on \(\{0,\ldots,100\}\). We then estimate the probability mass function using the above method and compare it with the empirical distribution.

set.seed(1)
## Calculate a piecewise linear function
pwl_fun <- function(x, knots) {
    n <- nrow(knots)
    x0 <- sort(knots$x, decreasing = FALSE)
    y0 <- knots$y[order(knots$x, decreasing = FALSE)]
    slope <- diff(y0)/diff(x0)
    
    sapply(x, function(xs) {
        if(xs <= x0[1])
            y0[1] + slope[1]*(xs -x0[1])
        else if(xs >= x0[n])
            y0[n] + slope[n-1]*(xs - x0[n])
        else {
            idx <- which(xs <= x0)[1]
            y0[idx-1] + slope[idx-1]*(xs - x0[idx-1])
        }
    })
}
## Problem data
m <- 25
xrange <- 0:100
knots <- data.frame(x = c(0, 25, 65, 100), y = c(10, 30, 40, 15))
xprobs <- pwl_fun(xrange, knots)/15
xprobs <- exp(xprobs)/sum(exp(xprobs))
x <- sample(xrange, size = m, replace = TRUE, prob = xprobs)

K <- max(xrange)
counts <- hist(x, breaks = -1:K, right = TRUE, include.lowest = FALSE,
               plot = FALSE)$counts
ggplot() +
    geom_histogram(mapping = aes(x = x), breaks = -1:K, color = "blue", fill = "orange")

We now solve problem with log-concave constraint.

u <- Variable(K+1)
obj <- t(counts) %*% u
constraints <- list(sum(exp(u)) <= 1, diff(u[1:K]) >= diff(u[2:(K+1)]))
prob <- Problem(Maximize(obj), constraints)
result <- psolve(prob, solver = "SCS")
Warning: Solution may be inaccurate. Try another solver, adjusting the solver settings,
or solve with `verbose = TRUE` for more information.
check_solver_status(prob)
pmf <- value(exp(u))

The above lines transform the variables \(u_k\) to \(e^{u_k}\) before calculating their resulting values. This is possible because exp is a member of the CVXR library of atoms, so it can operate directly on a Variable object such as u.

Below are the comparison plots of pmf and cdf.

dens <- density(x, bw = "sj")
d <- data.frame(x = xrange, True = xprobs, Optimal = pmf,
                Empirical = approx(x = dens$x, y = dens$y, xout = xrange)$y)
plot.data <- gather(data = d, key = "Type", value = "Estimate", True, Empirical, Optimal,
                    factor_key = TRUE)
ggplot(plot.data) +
    geom_line(mapping = aes(x = x, y = Estimate, color = Type)) +
    theme(legend.position = "top")

d <- data.frame(x = xrange, True = cumsum(xprobs),
                Empirical = cumsum(counts) / sum(counts),
                Optimal = cumsum(pmf))
plot.data <- gather(data = d, key = "Type", value = "Estimate", True, Empirical, Optimal,
                    factor_key = TRUE)
ggplot(plot.data) +
    geom_line(mapping = aes(x = x, y = Estimate, color = Type)) +
    theme(legend.position = "top")

From the figures we see that the estimated curve is much closer to the true distribution, exhibiting a similar shape and number of peaks. In contrast, the empirical probability mass function oscillates, failing to be log-concave on parts of its domain. These differences are reflected in the cumulative distribution functions as well.

Session Info

R version 4.5.3 (2026-03-11)
Platform: aarch64-apple-darwin20
Running under: macOS Tahoe 26.3.1

Matrix products: default
BLAS:   /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.5-arm64/Resources/lib/libRblas.0.dylib 
LAPACK: /Library/Frameworks/R.framework/Versions/4.5-arm64/Resources/lib/libRlapack.dylib;  LAPACK version 3.12.1

locale:
[1] en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8/C/en_US.UTF-8/en_US.UTF-8

time zone: America/Los_Angeles
tzcode source: internal

attached base packages:
[1] stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets  methods   base     

other attached packages:
[1] tidyr_1.3.2   ggplot2_4.0.2 CVXR_1.8.1   

loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
 [1] gmp_0.7-5.1        generics_0.1.4     clarabel_0.11.2    slam_0.1-55       
 [5] lattice_0.22-9     digest_0.6.39      magrittr_2.0.4     evaluate_1.0.5    
 [9] grid_4.5.3         RColorBrewer_1.1-3 fastmap_1.2.0      rprojroot_2.1.1   
[13] jsonlite_2.0.0     Matrix_1.7-4       ECOSolveR_0.6.1    backports_1.5.0   
[17] scs_3.2.7          purrr_1.2.1        Rmosek_11.1.1      scales_1.4.0      
[21] codetools_0.2-20   cli_3.6.5          rlang_1.1.7        Rglpk_0.6-5.1     
[25] withr_3.0.2        yaml_2.3.12        otel_0.2.0         tools_4.5.3       
[29] osqp_1.0.0         checkmate_2.3.4    dplyr_1.2.0        here_1.0.2        
[33] gurobi_13.0-1      vctrs_0.7.1        R6_2.6.1           lifecycle_1.0.5   
[37] htmlwidgets_1.6.4  pkgconfig_2.0.3    cccp_0.3-3         pillar_1.11.1     
[41] gtable_0.3.6       glue_1.8.0         Rcpp_1.1.1         xfun_0.56         
[45] tibble_3.3.1       tidyselect_1.2.1   knitr_1.51         dichromat_2.0-0.1 
[49] highs_1.12.0-3     farver_2.1.2       htmltools_0.5.9    labeling_0.4.3    
[53] rmarkdown_2.30     piqp_0.6.2         compiler_4.5.3     S7_0.2.1          

References